Silkeborg
FC København
The model leans FC København at 53%. Expected goals: Silkeborg 1.55, FC København 2.60. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 74%. Silkeborg won 1 of their last 6; FC København won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Silkeborg | 21% | 4.76 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 19% | 5.18 | – | – | – |
| 2FC København | 60% | 1.68 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC København. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 60%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.55 – 2.60| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% |
| Both teams to score | Yes73% | No27% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.3%
- 1–37.2%
- 2–26.4%
- 1–16.4%
- 2–35.6%
- 0–25.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 68% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC København −1| Silkeborg line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| 0 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| +0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| +1.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.