Brøndby IF
Silkeborg
The model leans Brøndby IF at 60%. Expected goals: Brøndby IF 2.39, Silkeborg 0.98. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 57%. Brøndby IF won 4 of their last 6; Silkeborg won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Brøndby IF | 68% | 1.47 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 19% | 5.19 | – | – | – |
| 2Silkeborg | 13% | 7.74 | – | – | – |
Pick: Brøndby IF. Calibrated probability 60% (raw model output 68%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.39 – 0.98| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Both teams to score | Yes57% | No43% |
Most likely scores
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–18.1%
- 3–07.9%
- 3–17.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Brøndby IF −1.5| Brøndby IF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 22% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| 0 | 69% | 18% | 14% |
| +0.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.