Nordsjælland
Silkeborg
The model leans Nordsjælland at 67%. Expected goals: Nordsjælland 3.00, Silkeborg 1.11. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 64%. Nordsjælland won 5 of their last 6; Silkeborg won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nordsjælland | 75% | 1.34 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 15% | 6.73 | – | – | – |
| 2Silkeborg | 10% | 9.67 | – | – | – |
Pick: Nordsjælland. Calibrated probability 67% (raw model output 75%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 90%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.00 – 1.11| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% |
| Both teams to score | Yes64% | No36% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.2%
- 3–18.2%
- 2–07.4%
- 3–07.4%
- 4–16.2%
- 4–05.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 68% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Nordsjælland −2| Nordsjælland line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| -1 | 56% | 19% | 25% |
| -0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| 0 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +0.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.