Randers FC
FC København
The model leans FC København at 50%. Expected goals: Randers FC 1.12, FC København 1.79. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 57%. Randers FC won 2 of their last 6; FC København won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Randers FC | 23% | 4.40 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 3.93 | – | – | – |
| 2FC København | 52% | 1.93 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC København. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 52%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.12 – 1.79| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams to score | Yes56% | No44% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–28.7%
- 2–16.1%
- 1–06.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC København −0.5| Randers FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 9% | – | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| 0 | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| +0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.