Randers FC
AGF
The model leans AGF at 55%. Expected goals: Randers FC 0.73, AGF 1.86. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%. Randers FC won 2 of their last 6; AGF won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Randers FC | 13% | 7.63 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.20 | – | – | – |
| 2AGF | 63% | 1.59 | – | – | – |
Pick: AGF. Calibrated probability 55% (raw model output 63%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.73 – 1.86| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% |
| Both teams to score | Yes44% | No56% |
Most likely scores
- 0–113.9%
- 0–212.9%
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–38.0%
- 0–07.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 48% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: AGF −1| Randers FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 4% | – | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| 0 | 14% | 22% | 64% |
| +0.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| +1 | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.