Randers FC
Lyngby
The model leans Lyngby at 41%. Expected goals: Randers FC 1.31, Lyngby 1.64. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 60%. Randers FC won 2 of their last 6; Lyngby won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Randers FC | 29% | 3.40 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.78 | – | – | – |
| 2Lyngby | 44% | 2.27 | – | – | – |
Pick: Lyngby. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 44%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.31 – 1.64| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–27.1%
- 1–06.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Lyngby −0.5| Randers FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| 0 | 31% | 24% | 45% |
| +0.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.