AC Horsens
Lyngby
The model leans AC Horsens at 37%. Expected goals: AC Horsens 1.35, Lyngby 1.18. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 53%. AC Horsens won 3 of their last 6; Lyngby won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1AC Horsens | 39% | 2.54 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.42 | – | – | – |
| 2Lyngby | 31% | 3.19 | – | – | – |
Pick: AC Horsens. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 71%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.35 – 1.18| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams to score | Yes51% | No49% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–08.0%
- 1–27.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: AC Horsens 0| AC Horsens line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | – | 59% |
| 0 | 41% | 27% | 33% |
| +0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.