AC Horsens
Viborg
The model leans AC Horsens at 34%. Expected goals: AC Horsens 1.19, Viborg 1.10. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 52%. AC Horsens won 3 of their last 6; Viborg won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1AC Horsens | 37% | 2.74 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.22 | – | – | – |
| 2Viborg | 32% | 3.09 | – | – | – |
Pick: AC Horsens. Calibrated probability 34% (raw model output 37%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 69%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.19 – 1.10| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% |
| Both teams to score | Yes46% | No54% |
Most likely scores
- 1–113.3%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–111.2%
- 0–010.1%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–27.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: AC Horsens 0| AC Horsens line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 22% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| 0 | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 20% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.