Viborg
OB
The model leans Viborg at 50%. Expected goals: Viborg 2.07, OB 1.36. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%. Viborg won 4 of their last 6; OB won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Viborg | 53% | 1.89 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.34 | – | – | – |
| 2OB | 24% | 4.15 | – | – | – |
Pick: Viborg. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.07 – 1.36| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Both teams to score | Yes65% | No35% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.4%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–06.7%
- 3–16.5%
- 2–26.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Viborg −0.5| Viborg line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| 0 | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.