Fredericia
OB
The model leans OB at 39%. Expected goals: Fredericia 1.78, OB 1.94. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 72%. Fredericia won 1 of their last 6; OB won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fredericia | 35% | 2.85 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.32 | – | – | – |
| 2OB | 42% | 2.40 | – | – | – |
Pick: OB. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.78 – 1.94| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% |
| Both teams to score | Yes71% | No29% |
Most likely scores
- 1–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–17.4%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.3%
- 0–14.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Fredericia 0| Fredericia line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 17% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| 0 | 36% | 21% | 43% |
| +0.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.