IF Lyseng
AC Horsens
The model leans AC Horsens at 64%. Expected goals: IF Lyseng 0.49, AC Horsens 2.02. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 65%. IF Lyseng won 1 of their last 3; AC Horsens won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1IF Lyseng | 7% | 14.10 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 5.01 | – | – | – |
| 2AC Horsens | 73% | 1.37 | – | – | – |
Pick: AC Horsens. Calibrated probability 64% (raw model output 73%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 93%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.49 – 2.02| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams to score | Yes34% | No66% |
Most likely scores
- 0–216.5%
- 0–116.3%
- 0–311.2%
- 1–28.2%
- 0–08.1%
- 1–18.1%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: AC Horsens −1.5| IF Lyseng line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2% | – | 98% |
| -1 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -0.5 | 8% | – | 92% |
| 0 | 8% | 18% | 74% |
| +0.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| +1 | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| +1.5 | 52% | – | 48% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.