Isloch
BATE Borisov
The model leans Isloch at 51%. Expected goals: Isloch 1.29, BATE Borisov 0.49. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 71%. Isloch won 5 of their last 6; BATE Borisov won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Isloch | 56% | 1.80 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.18 | – | – | – |
| 2BATE Borisov | 13% | 7.66 | – | – | – |
Pick: Isloch. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 56%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.29 – 0.49| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% |
| Both teams to score | Yes28% | No72% |
Most likely scores
- 1–021.7%
- 0–016.8%
- 2–014.0%
- 1–110.7%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–16.9%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 60% · BTTS No 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Isloch −0.5| Isloch line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 29% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
| 0 | 57% | 29% | 14% |
| +0.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 11% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.