Isloch
Dinamo Minsk
The model leans Isloch at 29%. Expected goals: Isloch 1.01, Dinamo Minsk 1.01. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 58%. Isloch won 5 of their last 6; Dinamo Minsk won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Isloch | 33% | 3.00 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 33% | 3.00 | – | – | – |
| 2Dinamo Minsk | 33% | 3.01 | – | – | – |
Pick: Isloch. Calibrated probability 29% (raw model output 33%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 67%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.01 – 1.01| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% |
| Both teams to score | Yes40% | No60% |
Most likely scores
- 1–113.5%
- 1–013.4%
- 0–113.4%
- 0–013.3%
- 2–16.8%
- 1–26.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Isloch 0| Isloch line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 22% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| 0 | 35% | 31% | 35% |
| +0.5 | 65% | – | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 21% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.