Dynamo Brest
Isloch
The model leans Draw at 36%. Expected goals: Dynamo Brest 0.89, Isloch 0.75. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 68%. Dynamo Brest won 3 of their last 6; Isloch won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dynamo Brest | 35% | 2.83 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 37% | 2.68 | – | – | – |
| 2Isloch | 27% | 3.64 | – | – | – |
Pick: Draw. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 37%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.89 – 0.75| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% |
| Both teams to score | Yes31% | No69% |
Most likely scores
- 0–019.4%
- 1–017.3%
- 0–114.6%
- 1–112.9%
- 2–07.7%
- 2–15.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 67% · BTTS No 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Dynamo Brest 0| Dynamo Brest line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 24% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| 0 | 37% | 35% | 29% |
| +0.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 20% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.