Dinamo Minsk
Torpedo Zhodino
The model leans Dinamo Minsk at 50%. Expected goals: Dinamo Minsk 1.74, Torpedo Zhodino 0.98. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 53%. Dinamo Minsk won 3 of their last 6; Torpedo Zhodino won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dinamo Minsk | 54% | 1.85 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.87 | – | – | – |
| 2Torpedo Zhodino | 20% | 5.01 | – | – | – |
Pick: Dinamo Minsk. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 54%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 80%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.74 – 0.98| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Both teams to score | Yes51% | No49% |
Most likely scores
- 1–011.5%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–06.6%
- 0–16.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 44% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Dinamo Minsk −0.5| Dinamo Minsk line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
| 0 | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| +0.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.