Baranovichi
Torpedo Zhodino
The model leans Torpedo Zhodino at 54%. Expected goals: Baranovichi 1.26, Torpedo Zhodino 2.42. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 66%. Baranovichi won 2 of their last 6; Torpedo Zhodino won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Baranovichi | 18% | 5.64 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 4.99 | – | – | – |
| 2Torpedo Zhodino | 62% | 1.61 | – | – | – |
Pick: Torpedo Zhodino. Calibrated probability 54% (raw model output 62%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 82%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.26 – 2.42| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score | Yes65% | No35% |
Most likely scores
- 1–29.3%
- 1–17.7%
- 1–37.5%
- 0–27.4%
- 0–16.1%
- 0–36.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Torpedo Zhodino −1| Baranovichi line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7% | – | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 11% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| 0 | 19% | 19% | 63% |
| +0.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 22% | 41% |
| +1.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.