Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
El Paso Locomotive FC
The model leans Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC at 50%. Expected goals: Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 2.17, El Paso Locomotive FC 1.53. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 70%. Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC won 2 of their last 6; El Paso Locomotive FC won 6 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC | 52% | 1.94 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.50 | – | – | – |
| 2El Paso Locomotive FC | 26% | 3.82 | – | – | – |
Pick: Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 52%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.17 – 1.53| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% |
| Both teams to score | Yes69% | No31% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.9%
- 1–18.2%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–16.5%
- 1–26.3%
- 2–05.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC −0.5| Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 21% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | – | 48% |
| 0 | 52% | 21% | 27% |
| +0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.