Predictions · USL Championship · outside model coverage

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC

21
Won

Charleston Battery

The model leans Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC at 36%. Expected goals: Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 1.47, Charleston Battery 1.40. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 59%.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC38%2.63
XDraw27%3.67
2Charleston Battery35%2.88

Pick: Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.47 – 1.40
LineOverUnder
1.578%22%
2.555%45%
3.532%68%
Both teams to scoreYes58%No42%

Most likely scores

  • 1111.7%
  • 218.6%
  • 108.4%
  • 128.2%
  • 018.0%
  • 206.2%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 55%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 0
Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.519%81%
-119%20%61%
-0.539%61%
039%25%36%
+0.564%36%
+164%19%16%
+1.584%16%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.