Spokane Velocity FC
Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
The model leans Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC at 50%. Expected goals: Spokane Velocity FC 0.90, Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 1.68. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 51%. Spokane Velocity FC won 3 of their last 6; Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Spokane Velocity FC | 19% | 5.29 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.77 | – | – | – |
| 2Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC | 55% | 1.83 | – | – | – |
Pick: Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 55%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.90 – 1.68| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% |
| Both teams to score | Yes48% | No52% |
Most likely scores
- 0–112.8%
- 1–111.5%
- 0–210.7%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–07.6%
- 1–06.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 49% · BTTS No 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC −0.5| Spokane Velocity FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7% | – | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | – | 80% |
| 0 | 20% | 24% | 56% |
| +0.5 | 44% | – | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.