Spokane Velocity FC
Fort Wayne
The model leans Spokane Velocity FC at 32%. Expected goals: Spokane Velocity FC 1.03, Fort Wayne 0.92. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 60%. Spokane Velocity FC won 3 of their last 6; Fort Wayne won 0 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Spokane Velocity FC | 36% | 2.77 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 34% | 2.95 | – | – | – |
| 2Fort Wayne | 30% | 3.34 | – | – | – |
Pick: Spokane Velocity FC. Calibrated probability 32% (raw model output 36%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 70%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.03 – 0.92| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% |
| Both teams to score | Yes39% | No61% |
Most likely scores
- 1–014.7%
- 0–014.2%
- 1–113.5%
- 0–113.0%
- 2–07.6%
- 2–17.0%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 59% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Spokane Velocity FC 0| Spokane Velocity FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 15% | – | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 23% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| 0 | 37% | 31% | 31% |
| +0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.