Spokane Velocity FC
Greenville Triumph SC
The model leans Spokane Velocity FC at 50%. Expected goals: Spokane Velocity FC 1.53, Greenville Triumph SC 0.84. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 54%. Spokane Velocity FC won 3 of their last 6; Greenville Triumph SC won 0 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Spokane Velocity FC | 53% | 1.90 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.55 | – | – | – |
| 2Greenville Triumph SC | 19% | 5.18 | – | – | – |
Pick: Spokane Velocity FC. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.53 – 0.84| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% |
| Both teams to score | Yes44% | No56% |
Most likely scores
- 1–014.3%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–011.0%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 53% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Spokane Velocity FC −0.5| Spokane Velocity FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| 0 | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| +0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.