Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
Birmingham Legion FC
The model leans Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC at 50%. Expected goals: Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 1.81, Birmingham Legion FC 1.02. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 55%. Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC won 2 of their last 6; Birmingham Legion FC won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC | 55% | 1.82 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 3.97 | – | – | – |
| 2Birmingham Legion FC | 20% | 5.00 | – | – | – |
Pick: Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 55%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 80%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.81 – 1.02| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% |
| Both teams to score | Yes53% | No47% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.9%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–16.0%
- 3–15.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC −0.5| Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| 0 | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| +0.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.