Hammarby TFF
Piteå
The model leans Hammarby TFF at 71%. Expected goals: Hammarby TFF 3.71, Piteå 0.97. Over 2.5 goals 85%, both teams to score 61%. Hammarby TFF won 2 of their last 6; Piteå won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hammarby TFF | 85% | 1.17 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 10% | 10.53 | – | – | – |
| 2Piteå | 5% | 19.19 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hammarby TFF. Calibrated probability 71% (raw model output 85%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 95%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.71 – 0.97| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% |
| Both teams to score | Yes61% | No39% |
Most likely scores
- 3–08.0%
- 3–17.8%
- 4–07.4%
- 4–17.2%
- 2–06.5%
- 2–16.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hammarby TFF −2| Hammarby TFF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| -1 | 71% | 15% | 15% |
| -0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| 0 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +0.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.