Huracan
Atletico Tucuman
The model leans Huracan at 50%. Expected goals: Huracan 1.34, Atletico Tucuman 0.75. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 60%. Huracan won 2 of their last 6; Atletico Tucuman won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Huracan | 50% | 2.01 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | – | – | – |
| 2Atletico Tucuman | 20% | 5.10 | – | – | – |
Pick: Huracan. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 50%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 80%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.34 – 0.75| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% |
| Both teams to score | Yes39% | No61% |
Most likely scores
- 1–016.6%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–012.4%
- 2–011.1%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Huracan −0.5| Huracan line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 26% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
| 0 | 51% | 28% | 21% |
| +0.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.