Central Cordoba de Santiago
Atletico Tucuman
The model leans Central Cordoba de Santiago at 37%. Expected goals: Central Cordoba de Santiago 1.11, Atletico Tucuman 0.93. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 58%. Central Cordoba de Santiago won 2 of their last 4; Atletico Tucuman won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Central Cordoba de Santiago | 38% | 2.62 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 33% | 3.02 | – | – | – |
| 2Atletico Tucuman | 29% | 3.47 | – | – | – |
Pick: Central Cordoba de Santiago. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 71%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.11 – 0.93| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% |
| Both teams to score | Yes40% | No60% |
Most likely scores
- 1–014.5%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–013.1%
- 0–112.1%
- 2–08.0%
- 2–17.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Central Cordoba de Santiago 0| Central Cordoba de Santiago line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 23% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| 0 | 39% | 30% | 30% |
| +0.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.