Central Cordoba de Santiago
San Lorenzo
The model leans Draw at 36%. Expected goals: Central Cordoba de Santiago 0.80, San Lorenzo 0.81. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 68%. Central Cordoba de Santiago won 2 of their last 4; San Lorenzo won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Central Cordoba de Santiago | 31% | 3.22 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | – | – | – |
| 2San Lorenzo | 31% | 3.20 | – | – | – |
Pick: Draw. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 69%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.80 – 0.81| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% |
| Both teams to score | Yes31% | No69% |
Most likely scores
- 0–019.9%
- 0–116.1%
- 1–016.0%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–26.5%
- 2–06.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 68% · BTTS No 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Central Cordoba de Santiago 0| Central Cordoba de Santiago line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 22% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| 0 | 32% | 35% | 33% |
| +0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 22% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.