Talleres
Central Córdoba de Santiago
The model leans Talleres at 39%. Expected goals: Talleres 0.93, Central Córdoba de Santiago 0.55. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 73%. Talleres won 0 of their last 4; Central Córdoba de Santiago won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Talleres | 42% | 2.38 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.60 | – | – | – |
| 2Central Córdoba de Santiago | 20% | 5.10 | – | – | – |
Pick: Talleres. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 80%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.93 – 0.55| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% |
| Both teams to score | Yes25% | No75% |
Most likely scores
- 0–023.0%
- 1–021.3%
- 0–112.5%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–09.8%
- 2–15.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 69% · BTTS No 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Talleres −0.5| Talleres line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 27% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| 0 | 43% | 36% | 21% |
| +0.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 16% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.