Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
The model leans Colorado Rapids at 67%. Expected goals: Colorado Rapids 2.77, Sporting Kansas City 0.88. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 56%. Colorado Rapids won 4 of their last 6; Sporting Kansas City won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Colorado Rapids | 76% | 1.31 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 15% | 6.53 | – | – | – |
| 2Sporting Kansas City | 9% | 11.57 | – | – | – |
Pick: Colorado Rapids. Calibrated probability 67% (raw model output 76%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 91%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.77 – 0.88| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| Both teams to score | Yes55% | No45% |
Most likely scores
- 2–010.0%
- 3–09.2%
- 2–18.8%
- 3–18.1%
- 1–07.2%
- 4–06.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Colorado Rapids −2| Colorado Rapids line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| -1 | 56% | 20% | 23% |
| -0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| 0 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +0.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.