Queretaro FC
CF America
The model leans CF America at 38%. Expected goals: Queretaro FC 0.95, CF America 1.19. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 56%. Queretaro FC won 1 of their last 6; CF America won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Queretaro FC | 28% | 3.60 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.12 | – | – | – |
| 2CF America | 40% | 2.49 | – | – | – |
Pick: CF America. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.95 – 1.19| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% |
| Both teams to score | Yes43% | No57% |
Most likely scores
- 0–114.1%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–011.8%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–28.4%
- 1–27.9%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Queretaro FC 0| Queretaro FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 19% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| 0 | 29% | 29% | 42% |
| +0.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 24% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.