Los Angeles FC
Queretaro FC
The model leans Los Angeles FC at 62%. Expected goals: Los Angeles FC 2.11, Queretaro FC 0.61. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 59%. Los Angeles FC won 1 of their last 6; Queretaro FC won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Los Angeles FC | 72% | 1.40 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 5.03 | – | – | – |
| 2Queretaro FC | 9% | 11.61 | – | – | – |
Pick: Los Angeles FC. Calibrated probability 62% (raw model output 72%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 91%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.11 – 0.61| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Both teams to score | Yes40% | No60% |
Most likely scores
- 2–014.7%
- 1–013.9%
- 3–010.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–18.5%
- 0–06.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 45% · BTTS No 55%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Los Angeles FC −1.5| Los Angeles FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| 0 | 72% | 18% | 9% |
| +0.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.