Al Fateh FC
Al-Ettifaq
The model leans Al-Ettifaq at 35%. Expected goals: Al Fateh FC 1.45, Al-Ettifaq 1.46. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 60%. Al Fateh FC won 0 of their last 5; Al-Ettifaq won 2 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al Fateh FC | 36% | 2.76 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.70 | – | – | – |
| 2Al-Ettifaq | 37% | 2.72 | – | – | – |
Pick: Al-Ettifaq. Calibrated probability 35% (raw model output 37%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.45 – 1.46| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–26.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Al Fateh FC 0| Al Fateh FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| 0 | 37% | 25% | 38% |
| +0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.