Al-Faisaly
Al Fateh FC
The model leans Al-Faisaly at 53%. Expected goals: Al-Faisaly 2.16, Al Fateh FC 1.08. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 59%. Al-Faisaly won 0 of their last 5; Al Fateh FC won 0 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al-Faisaly | 61% | 1.64 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.58 | – | – | – |
| 2Al Fateh FC | 17% | 5.80 | – | – | – |
Pick: Al-Faisaly. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 61%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.16 – 1.08| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–09.1%
- 1–08.4%
- 3–17.1%
- 3–06.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 56% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Al-Faisaly −1| Al-Faisaly line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| 0 | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| +0.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.