Neom SC
Al-Fayha
The model leans Neom SC at 42%. Expected goals: Neom SC 1.50, Al-Fayha 1.07. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 52%. Neom SC won 4 of their last 6; Al-Fayha won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Neom SC | 46% | 2.18 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.54 | – | – | – |
| 2Al-Fayha | 26% | 3.87 | – | – | – |
Pick: Neom SC. Calibrated probability 42% (raw model output 46%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.50 – 1.07| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% |
| Both teams to score | Yes51% | No49% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–07.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 49% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Neom SC −0.5| Neom SC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| 0 | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| +0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.