Bodrum FK
Bursaspor
The model leans Bodrum FK at 78%. Expected goals: Bodrum FK 3.30, Bursaspor 0.05. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 95%. Bodrum FK won 0 of their last 5; Bursaspor won 4 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bodrum FK | 96% | 1.05 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 4% | 23.70 | – | – | – |
| 2Bursaspor | 0% | 714.29 | – | – | – |
Pick: Bodrum FK. Calibrated probability 78% (raw model output 96%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 100%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.30 – 0.05| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Both teams to score | Yes5% | No95% |
Most likely scores
- 3–021.2%
- 2–019.2%
- 4–017.5%
- 1–011.6%
- 5–011.5%
- 6–06.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS No 64%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Bodrum FK −2| Bodrum FK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| -1 | 83% | 13% | 4% |
| -0.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
| 0 | 96% | 4% | 0% |
| +0.5 | 100% | – | 0% |
| +1 | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| +1.5 | 100% | – | 0% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.