Bandırmaspor
Istanbulspor
The model leans Bandırmaspor at 42%. Expected goals: Bandırmaspor 1.33, Istanbulspor 0.90. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 55%. Bandırmaspor won 1 of their last 5; Istanbulspor won 0 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bandırmaspor | 45% | 2.21 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.27 | – | – | – |
| 2Istanbulspor | 24% | 4.16 | – | – | – |
Pick: Bandırmaspor. Calibrated probability 42% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.33 – 0.90| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% |
| Both teams to score | Yes44% | No56% |
Most likely scores
- 1–014.3%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–010.8%
- 0–19.7%
- 2–09.5%
- 2–18.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Bandırmaspor −0.5| Bandırmaspor line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| 0 | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 17% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.