Bandırmaspor
Antalyaspor
The model leans Draw at 29%. Expected goals: Bandırmaspor 0.94, Antalyaspor 0.87. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 63%. Bandırmaspor won 1 of their last 5; Antalyaspor won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bandırmaspor | 34% | 2.92 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 35% | 2.82 | – | – | – |
| 2Antalyaspor | 30% | 3.30 | – | – | – |
Pick: Draw. Calibrated probability 29% (raw model output 35%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 70%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.94 – 0.87| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% |
| Both teams to score | Yes35% | No65% |
Most likely scores
- 0–016.4%
- 1–015.4%
- 0–114.2%
- 1–113.4%
- 2–07.2%
- 2–16.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 59% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Bandırmaspor 0| Bandırmaspor line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 23% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| 0 | 36% | 33% | 32% |
| +0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 21% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.