Pendikspor
Bandırmaspor
The model leans Pendikspor at 33%. Expected goals: Pendikspor 0.94, Bandırmaspor 0.78. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 66%. Pendikspor won 1 of their last 4; Bandırmaspor won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Pendikspor | 36% | 2.75 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 36% | 2.76 | – | – | – |
| 2Bandırmaspor | 27% | 3.65 | – | – | – |
Pick: Pendikspor. Calibrated probability 33% (raw model output 36%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.94 – 0.78| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% |
| Both teams to score | Yes33% | No67% |
Most likely scores
- 0–017.9%
- 1–016.8%
- 0–114.0%
- 1–113.1%
- 2–07.9%
- 2–16.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 61% · BTTS No 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Pendikspor 0| Pendikspor line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 24% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| 0 | 38% | 34% | 29% |
| +0.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 20% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.