FK TransINVEST
Dziugas Telsiai
The model leans FK TransINVEST at 50%. Expected goals: FK TransINVEST 1.89, Dziugas Telsiai 1.20. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 60%. FK TransINVEST won 3 of their last 6; Dziugas Telsiai won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FK TransINVEST | 52% | 1.91 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.08 | – | – | – |
| 2Dziugas Telsiai | 23% | 4.34 | – | – | – |
Pick: FK TransINVEST. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 52%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.89 – 1.20| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–08.1%
- 1–26.2%
- 3–16.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FK TransINVEST −0.5| FK TransINVEST line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | – | 47% |
| 0 | 53% | 22% | 24% |
| +0.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.