Tottenham Hotspur
Hoffenheim
The model leans Tottenham Hotspur at 50%. Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur 2.02, Hoffenheim 1.38. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%. Tottenham Hotspur won 4 of their last 6; Hoffenheim won 3 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Tottenham Hotspur | 51% | 1.95 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.28 | – | – | – |
| 2Hoffenheim | 25% | 3.96 | – | – | – |
Pick: Tottenham Hotspur. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 51%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.02 – 1.38| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| Both teams to score | Yes65% | No35% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.4%
- 1–19.3%
- 2–06.8%
- 1–06.7%
- 2–26.5%
- 1–26.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Tottenham Hotspur −0.5| Tottenham Hotspur line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 22% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | – | 48% |
| 0 | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| +0.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.