Vihren Sandanski
Fratria
The model leans Vihren Sandanski at 39%. Expected goals: Vihren Sandanski 1.62, Fratria 1.39. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 61%. Vihren Sandanski won 4 of their last 6; Fratria won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vihren Sandanski | 42% | 2.38 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.81 | – | – | – |
| 2Fratria | 32% | 3.15 | – | – | – |
Pick: Vihren Sandanski. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.62 – 1.39| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% |
| Both teams to score | Yes60% | No40% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–16.8%
- 2–06.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Vihren Sandanski 0| Vihren Sandanski line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| 0 | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| +0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.