LASK
Ried
The model leans LASK at 54%. Expected goals: LASK 2.07, Ried 0.99. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 56%. LASK won 6 of their last 6; Ried won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1LASK | 61% | 1.63 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.46 | – | – | – |
| 2Ried | 16% | 6.16 | – | – | – |
Pick: LASK. Calibrated probability 54% (raw model output 61%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.07 – 0.99| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% |
| Both teams to score | Yes55% | No45% |
Most likely scores
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.7%
- 1–19.6%
- 3–06.9%
- 3–16.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: LASK −1| LASK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 24% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| 0 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.