Predictions · Bundesliga · outside model coverage

LASK

30
Won

Altach

The model leans LASK at 55%. Expected goals: LASK 2.28, Altach 1.10. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 61%. LASK won 6 of their last 6; Altach won 1 of their last 5.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1LASK63%1.59
XDraw21%4.81
2Altach16%6.13

Pick: LASK. Calibrated probability 55% (raw model output 63%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 84%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 2.28 – 1.10
LineOverUnder
1.585%15%
2.566%34%
3.544%56%
Both teams to scoreYes60%No40%

Most likely scores

  • 219.7%
  • 208.8%
  • 118.5%
  • 107.7%
  • 317.4%
  • 306.7%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: LASK −1
LASK lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.541%59%
-141%23%36%
-0.564%36%
064%19%17%
+0.583%17%
+183%11%6%
+1.594%6%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.