Predictions · League 278 · outside model coverage

Kalsdorf

07
Won

LASK

The model leans LASK at 80%. Expected goals: Kalsdorf 0.05, LASK 6.00. Over 2.5 goals 94%, both teams to score 95%.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Kalsdorf0%10000.00
XDraw0%294.12
2LASK100%1.00

Pick: LASK. Calibrated probability 80% (raw model output 100%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 100%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 0.05 – 6.00
LineOverUnder
1.598%2%
2.593%7%
3.583%17%
Both teams to scoreYes5%No95%

Most likely scores

  • 0518.0%
  • 0618.0%
  • 0715.5%
  • 0415.0%
  • 0811.6%
  • 0310.0%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 73% · BTTS No 64%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: LASK −2
Kalsdorf lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.50%100%
-10%100%
-0.50%100%
00%0%100%
+0.50%100%
+10%2%98%
+1.52%98%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.