Austria Wien
LASK
The model leans LASK at 50%. Expected goals: Austria Wien 1.58, LASK 2.25. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 72%. Austria Wien won 1 of their last 6; LASK won 6 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Austria Wien | 26% | 3.82 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.61 | – | – | – |
| 2LASK | 52% | 1.92 | – | – | – |
Pick: LASK. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 52%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.58 – 2.25| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| Both teams to score | Yes71% | No29% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.7%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–36.5%
- 2–16.1%
- 0–25.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: LASK −0.5| Austria Wien line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| 0 | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| +0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 21% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.