Wisła Kraków
Wieczysta Kraków
The model leans Wisła Kraków at 50%. Expected goals: Wisła Kraków 1.99, Wieczysta Kraków 1.29. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%. Wisła Kraków won 3 of their last 6; Wieczysta Kraków won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wisła Kraków | 53% | 1.89 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.24 | – | – | – |
| 2Wieczysta Kraków | 24% | 4.25 | – | – | – |
Pick: Wisła Kraków. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.99 – 1.29| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% |
| Both teams to score | Yes63% | No37% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–07.5%
- 3–16.4%
- 1–26.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 57% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Wisła Kraków −0.5| Wisła Kraków line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| 0 | 54% | 22% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.