Cracovia
Wieczysta Kraków
The model leans Cracovia at 32%. Expected goals: Cracovia 1.37, Wieczysta Kraków 1.37. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 57%. Cracovia won 2 of their last 6; Wieczysta Kraków won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cracovia | 36% | 2.77 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.57 | – | – | – |
| 2Wieczysta Kraków | 36% | 2.79 | – | – | – |
Pick: Cracovia. Calibrated probability 32% (raw model output 36%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.37 – 1.37| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams to score | Yes56% | No44% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.1%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 0–06.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 48% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Cracovia 0| Cracovia line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| 0 | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| +0.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 20% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.