Śląsk Wrocław
Cracovia
The model leans Śląsk Wrocław at 43%. Expected goals: Śląsk Wrocław 1.57, Cracovia 1.12. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%. Śląsk Wrocław won 1 of their last 6; Cracovia won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Śląsk Wrocław | 46% | 2.15 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.63 | – | – | – |
| 2Cracovia | 26% | 3.85 | – | – | – |
Pick: Śląsk Wrocław. Calibrated probability 43% (raw model output 46%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.57 – 1.12| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% |
| Both teams to score | Yes53% | No47% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.4%
- 0–17.6%
- 0–06.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 38% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Śląsk Wrocław −0.5| Śląsk Wrocław line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| 0 | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| +0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.