Zagłębie Lubin
Śląsk Wrocław
The model leans Zagłębie Lubin at 41%. Expected goals: Zagłębie Lubin 1.42, Śląsk Wrocław 1.04. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 50%. Zagłębie Lubin won 2 of their last 5; Śląsk Wrocław won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Zagłębie Lubin | 44% | 2.25 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.42 | – | – | – |
| 2Śląsk Wrocław | 26% | 3.79 | – | – | – |
Pick: Zagłębie Lubin. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 44%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.42 – 1.04| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% |
| Both teams to score | Yes49% | No51% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.2%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–08.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Zagłębie Lubin −0.5| Zagłębie Lubin line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| 0 | 46% | 27% | 28% |
| +0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.