Radomiak Radom
Cracovia
The model leans Radomiak Radom at 41%. Expected goals: Radomiak Radom 1.43, Cracovia 1.05. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 51%. Radomiak Radom won 2 of their last 6; Cracovia won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Radomiak Radom | 45% | 2.24 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.44 | – | – | – |
| 2Cracovia | 26% | 3.79 | – | – | – |
Pick: Radomiak Radom. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.43 – 1.05| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% |
| Both teams to score | Yes49% | No51% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.0%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–08.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Radomiak Radom −0.5| Radomiak Radom line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| 0 | 46% | 27% | 28% |
| +0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.