Radomiak Radom
Wieczysta Kraków
The model leans Radomiak Radom at 40%. Expected goals: Radomiak Radom 1.91, Wieczysta Kraków 1.64. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 70%. Radomiak Radom won 2 of their last 6; Wieczysta Kraków won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Radomiak Radom | 44% | 2.28 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.22 | – | – | – |
| 2Wieczysta Kraków | 33% | 3.07 | – | – | – |
Pick: Radomiak Radom. Calibrated probability 40% (raw model output 44%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.91 – 1.64| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% |
| Both teams to score | Yes69% | No31% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.0%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.0%
- 3–15.5%
- 1–05.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Radomiak Radom −0.5| Radomiak Radom line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 25% | – | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | – | 55% |
| 0 | 45% | 22% | 33% |
| +0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.